Mobilised Remain Vote?

I think I might do two posts today. Exciting. I've seen people posting on Twitter stating that turnout for these EU elections looks to be higher in remain voting areas. Which should bolster the vote for the remain parties. As a leaver I'm actually starting to feel a little apprehensive. People seem a little disengaged with politics where I live. Then again people always seem disengaged round here.

Also, with May announcing her resignation, I wonder if we've missed the boat. Here we are taking part in EU elections. Elections that perhaps will just lead to more questions and speculation. Meanwhile we could've been technically out now with May's deal. With one foot out the door and a bad deal in our hand. We could've simply sat back and watched these EU elections from afar. Knowing that every vote on the continent for an anti-EU party would strengthen our negotiating position.

It'll be interesting to see which side comes on top. If any. The Brexit Party have ran a very slick and professional campaign, however they're relying on the common sort of folk to get out and vote. If turnout is higher in remain areas it could be a sign that the remainers are more mobilised overall.

One thing I'm very aware of in politics is that the more affluent tend to be more proactive. It's like with schools places. More middle class people will get very active in their efforts to make sure their child is in a good school. Studying all the local schools, getting involved in parent-teacher groups. Even moving house to get in the catchment area of a good school. However, poorer people tend to just accept what they're given. They may whinge about the local comprehensive down the street, but they'll still just send their child there.

I think this attitude is largely a consequence of money/economic freedom, but also a consequence of education. You could even perhaps say, controversially, a consequence of intelligence or natural ability on the part of the parents themselves. I can get away with saying this, being working class myself :)

Though, on the flip side, it could also be that more affluent people tend to be more self-interested. Or aggressive in getting what they want. In fact, I remember when going into secondary education my teachers wanted my parents to apply for the independent school in our area. However, to my mam, a socialist, this was just out of the question. Everyone should go to a state school. No special treatment. This was something I was over the moon about at the time as I just wanted to go to the school all my friends were going to anyway.

I think it's the same with politics. Remainers, unhappy with the current situation, will be proactive in achieving their ends. Conservative voting Brexiteers, likewise unhappy, will also be proactive in getting rid of any Tories not doing their duty. However, people in working class areas will largely just accept what they're given. If they're given an alternative option, such as the Brexit Party, they may go out and vote. If there's little hope of an alternative though they'll just accept their lot.

These are all generalisations of course, but the general trends will probably make the margin of difference all other things being equal.