Wednesday, October 23, 2019

Bizarro World Politics

I've been reading today about the apparent divisions in No. 10. This article was a good read;

https://www.buzzfeed.com/alexwickham/boris-johnson-top-team-war-election

It seemed to confirm what I thought regarding Cummings trying to bounce Corbyn into an election, and failing to anticipate that he would block one.


So it's nice to know I've been reading some things correctly. Assuming it really is that simple that is, and that it all wasn't part of some bigger strategy.

It's always been my opinion that the Remainers will cling tightly to their parliamentary majority and not risk it with an election - it's their one remaining pillar. That's if we exclude the judiciary xD. We just have to wait to see if I'm right in thinking that the SNP will block an election now. I saw an SNP politician speaking earlier today which only strengthened my belief that they'll strive to avoid one.

According to the above article the other group (the not-Cummings group) around Boris are now not too keen on an election. Due to fears over losing Brexit altogether, preferring to keep trying to push the deal through. It's a tough decision to be fair. Personally, I'd probably be siding with Cummings (if it's even possible to reach an election) as there's also the risk of losing Brexit by allowing this parliament to keep going. They'll push for a customs union and referendum, or even a full revoke.

People say "they wouldn't dare to revoke", but it depends how you frame it. If it's "we'll revoke it, we don't want to but there simply isn't a way forward at the moment, people can decide at a general election" then they might just push it like that. They have a tendency to flip every argument anyway. They'd probably say "well, it was Brexiteers that said parties should put their views to a general election ..now they don't want to do that as they know they'll lose".

England.

In fact, for the last few weeks and months we've had the remain side saying "look, Brexiteers want to break up the union". So again we see this backwards bizarro world where those trying to conserve British sovereignty are constantly being accused of undermining it. Brexiteers shouldn't allow this to happen and should be using every time this argument pops up as an opportunity to point out, in regard Scotland, Northern Ireland and Wales, that Britain is actually giving powers back to its constituent parts, whereas the EU is taking them away.

Britain is building a modern and flexible union of free nations. The EU is moving backwards, creating a big cumbersome, sovereignty-devouring blob on the map.

This is a huge feather in Britain's cap. We shouldn't be on the back foot when discussing these things. I appreciate it is very difficult though when everything gets the bizarro treatment from the mainstream media.

It's another thing I ultimately view as win-win however, as if Britain does break up then England will rise from the ashes like a phoenix. (Very needlessly dramatic, but I couldn't resist).

Disdain of Britain is usually just disdain for England, stemming from the semi-false belief that England has conquered and suppressed the rest of the British Isles. So that in effect Britain is England viewed through that lens. Conversely though, the reality is if you destroy Britain you just get more England. Perhaps it is England that is shackled?

Ireland.

Also, and this is maybe for a different post, the way the current Boris deal is set up for Northern Ireland is quite interesting. Though admittedly I don't fully understand it or the situation. It looks very flexible to me, and I can see why the DUP are fearful that it provides a potential path towards reunification. I think it does, as if life in the EU is looking rosy then the temptation will be to throw the lot in with the rest of Ireland.

However, the beauty with keeping that border open and flexing to the Irish Sea is that it potentially helps to provide an escape root for the Republic of Ireland too if the EU goes badly. A unified Ireland that leaves the EU and uses the pound would look very attractive to me if I were Irish. Best of all worlds potentially. Probably piss a lot of people off on both sides too though to be fair. Nevertheless the flexibility, and the inevitable back and forth arising from such a situation may allow for a truly new solution like this to emerge.

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