Tuesday, August 27, 2019

Blue Wave

Watching the Brexit Party live stream. I must say Nigel has been completely upstaged by Ann Widdecombe today. She was in fine fettle. Putting things in very clear terms.

It now seems that a Brexit Party / Conservative Party pact is openly and officially on the table for Boris at any future general election should he want it ..with conditions though. He has to be hard on Brexit, and there will be no room for halfhearted Tory remainers that think they can pay lip service to Brexit and then sneak on past any election.

Conversely Jeremy Corbyn is meeting the other opposition leaders today in a quest to find a way to avert a "no deal". You get the feeling that he's looking in the wrong direction. Worried about a no deal which faces out to the channel when there's a tidal wave coming in the other direction. The blue wave.

General Election?

It's hard to predict when any election will be. The general consensus seems to be that it's looking ever more likely. Though it seems Corbyn wants a general election, personally I can't imagine that many remainers in parliament actually want that to happen. It's clear they're doing everything they can to sideline Corbyn and have someone else lead the opposition in his stead. If they succeed in that and put Ken Clarke or someone in charge then how would they be in any sort of position to lead anyone into a general election??

It's hard to understand what's possible and not possible given how messy parliament is these days, but I would suspect if they do get a caretaker leader in charge they'll just try to limp on until May 2022. When the next general election is due under the Fixed-term Parliaments Act. Or as close as they can get to that date. It's a remain parliament after all, which is their last real point of strength in the country.

Of course, if they're absolutely desperate to stop Brexit at any cost they may just resign themselves to going with Corbyn. In which case an election becomes highly likely. Though even then it would no doubt follow the delay of Brexit rather than precede it. Then once in that scenario all sorts of excuses can be made to delay an election even longer.

The bigger the delay the bigger the tidal wave though. You can't avoid the British public forever.

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