Saturday, August 3, 2019

Elections (lazy post)

Another shorty. I'm really just posting for the sake of it here. I'm determined to post everyday though. Can't let myself get too lazy.

The 50 Brexit Party candidates were revealed yesterday. No one for my area yet :( however, we do have a lady standing for Redcar, Jacqueline Cummins, which is just down the road from here. So things are beginning to move.

Also, I forgot to mention yesterday that the Lib Dems won the Brecon and Radnorshire by-election (I think that's in Wales). Looking at the percentage shares it seems the Lib Dems did very well indeed. Of course, the Conservative vote was split by the Brexit Party standing.

Liberal Democrat: 43.5%
Conservative: 39%
Brexit Party: 10.5%
Labour: 5.3%

The result wasn't too bad for the Conservatives in terms of illustrating their potential vote share should they fulfil Brexit. Labour clearly got trounced though.

Looking at the Lib Dem vote share it leads one to wonder how many of those were voting because of Brexit (remain voters), how many because of a genuine feel for the party in general, and how many just because they've lost faith in, or dislike Labour.

I get the feeling that the way things are heading every individual seat at any forthcoming general election will be a unique set of circumstances. Understanding the local terrain and having a good grass roots campaign could be key. The Lib Dems seem to be excelling in that area at the moment. I've criticised them in previous posts on here by they do seem to have momentum and a clear (or at least clearer) message.

I don't want to think too far ahead but if there continues to be animosity between the Brexit Party and the Conservatives things could get quite chaotic. Of course, this by-election means that there's one more remainer in parliament too now. Which makes a general election even more likely I guess. So it's interesting times.

(That wasn't too short was it actually. Shows that it's just a case of giving yourself that initial kick up the arse to get yourself started.)

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