Monday, December 2, 2019

Middlesbrough Social Media Data

So I have the seven day figures for the Facebook likes and Twitter followers for the Middlesbrough Central candidates.

Middlesbrough candidates. Facebook page likes, with net change over the last 7 days.

Antony High (Ind); 4,703 (+396)
Andy McDonald (Lab); 4,884 (+140)
Faye Clements (BXP); 98 (+10)
Ruth Betson (Con); 39 (+10)
Thomas Crawford (Lib Dem); 146 (+3)

Middlesbrough candidates, Twitter followers. Plus net change over the last seven days.

Andy McDonald (Lab): 34,393 (+350)
Ruth Betson (Con): 895 (+11)
Faye Clements (BXP): 677 (+10)
Antony High (Ind):  312 (+10)
Hugh Alberti (Green): 84 (+4)
Thomas Crawford (Lib Dem): 459 (-2)

The most noteworthy are the Facebook likes. Independent candidate Antony High is really smashing it. Nearly 400 new likes in the space of seven days is pretty impressive. I'm now expecting him to win this seat. It's just a question of how much the Labour vote collapses.

I also heard today that family members who live in town are planning to vote for him. Of course, this is just anecdotal evidence, but still it all adds to the picture.

Personally, as is apparent to anyone reading this blog, I was hopeful that the Brexit Party could do well here. I'm beginning to accept defeat though. That's just my opinion at the moment however, and it would be foolish to make predictions when we really are in uncharted territory.

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